Citation: | LI Pengyuan, ZHOU Ping, QI Yabin, TANG Jinrong, ZHANG Shouting. The supply and demand prediction and suggestions of platinum-group metals in China[J]. Geological Bulletin of China, 2017, 36(4): 676-683. |
Platinum-group metals as important strategic minerals, widely used in automobile exhaust catalyst, jewelry, chemical catalyst, electrical and electronic and other sectors. This paper analyzes the supply and demand situation of platinum-group metals in China, and predicts demand of platinum, palladium and rhodium in the next 15 years by sector consumption method. Here, we also make quantitative analysis of the platinum-group metals supply capacity in the next 15 years. We hold that with the continuous in-creasing of national income, the demand for jewelry and automobiles will increase, along with the strict automobile emissions standards, the platinum-group metals demand will increase until 2030. But by the restrictions of the platinum-group metals resource endowment, the resources will be in short supply. In view of these problems, we put forward some suggestions.
[1] | 王淑玲.铂族金属资源的现状及对策研究[J].中国地质, 2001, 28(8):23-27. |
[2] | 陈喜峰, 彭润民.中国铂族金属资源形势分析及可持续发展对策探讨[J].矿产综合利用, 2007, 4(2):27-30. |
[3] | 刘军, 靳淑韵. 我国铂金属资源现状及对策分析[C]//中国地质学会2013年学术年会, 2013. |
[4] | 董海刚, 汪云华, 范兴祥, 等.近年全球铂族金属资源及铂、钯、铑供需状况浅析[J].资源与产业, 2014, 14(2):138-142. |
[5] | 张若然, 陈其慎, 柳群义, 等.全球主要铂族金属需求预测及供需形势分析[J].资源科学, 2015, 35(5):1018-1029. |
[6] | Glaux Metal. Forecasting Platinum Supply and Demand World Plati-num Investment Council[EB/OL][2017-03-15] https://www.plat-inuminvestment.com/files/Platinum_Fundamentals_forecast_Glaux_2016.pdf.2016. |
[7] | Johnson Matthey. PGM Market Report 2015[EB/OL][2017-03-15] http://www.platinum.matthey.com/services/market-research/mar-ket-data-tables.2015. |
[8] | 王安建, 王高尚, 张建华.矿产资源与国家经济发展[M].北京:地震出版社, 2002. |
[9] | 王高尚, 韩梅.中国重要矿产资源的需求预测[J].地球学报, 2002, 23(6):483-490. |
[10] | 王安建, 王高尚, 陈其慎, 等.能源与国家经济发展[M].北京:地质出版社, 2008. |
[11] | 中国黄金协会铂金分会, 美国CPM集团. 世界铂族年鉴2014. |
[12] | 北京FOURIN, 中国汽车工业协会. 世界汽车统计年鉴2015[EB/OL](2015-09-29)[2017-03-15] http://www.fourin.cn/img/report/STATISTICS_NENKAN_2015/STATISTICS_NENK-AN_2015.pdf.2015. |
[13] | United Nations Population Division. World Population Prospects:The 2012 Revision[EB/OL](2015-01-08)[2017-03-15] http://esa.un.org/wpp/Documentation/publications.htm.2015. |
[14] | Statistical Survey Department, Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Inter-nal Affairs and Communications. 日本统计年鉴2014. 2014. |
[15] | 中国统计局. 中国统计年鉴2015[EB/OL][2016-11-15] http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/2015/indexch.htm.2015. |
[16] | 耿林, 翟裕生, 彭润民.中国铂族元素矿床特征及资源潜力分析[J].地质与勘探, 2007, 43(1):1-7. |
[17] | 张涛, 唐金荣, 施俊法.铂族OPEC的组建及对中国的挑战[J].矿业经济与管理, 2014, 35(7):1-5. |
① | 国土资源部.中国矿产资源年报.2013. |
China platinum consumption (a) and consumption structure (b)
China palladium consumption (a) and consumption structure (b)
China rhodium consumption
The platinum jewelry consumption and population age structure in Japan and China
The platinum consumption of each car in China and Japan
The prediction of platinum in China for coming years
The palladium consumption of each car in China and Japan
The palladium consumption of jewelry per capita in China and Japan
The prediction of palladium in China for coming years
The rhodium consumption of each car in China and Japan
The prediction of rhodium in China for coming years