A study of the risk ranking method of landslides and collapses

XIE Mingli; JU Nengpan; LIU Yunkun; LIU Xiuwei; ZHAO Weihua; ZHANG Chengqiang

doi:10.16030/j.cnki.issn.1000-3665.202007011

2021 Vol. 48, No. 5

Article Contents

Article navigation > Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology > 2021 > 48(5): 184-192

Next Article Previous Article

XIE Mingli, JU Nengpan, LIU Yunkun, LIU Xiuwei, ZHAO Weihua, ZHANG Chengqiang. A study of the risk ranking method of landslides and collapses[J]. Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology, 2021, 48(5): 184-192. doi: 10.16030/j.cnki.issn.1000-3665.202007011

Citation:

XIE Mingli, JU Nengpan, LIU Yunkun, LIU Xiuwei, ZHAO Weihua, ZHANG Chengqiang. A study of the risk ranking method of landslides and collapses[J]. Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology, 2021, 48(5): 184-192. doi: 10.16030/j.cnki.issn.1000-3665.202007011

A study of the risk ranking method of landslides and collapses

1.
State Key Laboratory of Geological Disaster Prevention and Environmental Protection, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu, Sichuan　610059, China
2.
Guizhou Institute of Geo-environment Monitoring, Guiyang, Guizhou　550001, China

More Information

Corresponding author: JU Nengpan, jnp@cdut.edu.cn

Received Date: 06 July 2020

Revised Date: 26 December 2020

Publish Date: 15 September 2021

Abstract

Abstract

Geological disasters in China are characterized by multi-point and wide-range distribution, while the manpower and ability of geological disaster risk management and control are relatively limited. Therefore, it is necessary to carry out the sequencing work of geological disaster risk, screen out the geological disaster points for priority control and control, and ensure the pertinency and efficiency of the implementation of geological disaster risk management and control countermeasures. The essence of geological hazard risk ranking is to use quantitative risk evaluation to calculate the risk value of each disaster point, and then carry out the ranking work according to the risk value. At present, the quantitative risk assessment model is mostly used in the risk assessment of a single geological disaster point, but is not applied in the risk ranking work of a wide range of geological disasters. Moreover, the model is relatively complex, so it is difficult to popularize and use it. Based on the analysis of the response relationship and law between the collapse-landslide geological disasters and its environmental factors, this paper extracts the main controlling environmental factors and inducing factors of the collapse landslide geological disasters, and establishes the risk evaluation index system of geological disasters together with the vulnerable factors such as population, material and resources. Based on the interaction matrix of rock engineering system (RES) and expert scoring method, the weight of each level of geological hazard risk evaluation index factor is determined, and the geological hazard risk scoring system is constructed. According to the definition of risk assessment, a simple geological hazard risk calculation model which can be quantified quickly is proposed. Taking 98 potential geological hazards in Guizhou province as an example, the model verification and application were carried out by taking 98 potential geological hazards in Guizhou province as examples. The risk ranking results are consistent with the actual risks recognized by the disaster body management agencies, which verify the rationality and effectiveness of the model and greatly improve the ability and efficiency of geological disaster risk management and control.
- geological hazard /
- collapse /
- landslide /
- risk assessment /
- rock engineering system /
- risk ranking /
- disaster prevention and mitigation

FullText(HTML)

References

[1]	刘传正, 陈春利. 中国地质灾害防治成效与问题对策[J]. 工程地质学报,2020,28(2):375 − 383. [LIU Chuanzheng, CHEN Chunli. Achievements and countermeasures in risk reduction of geological disasters in China[J]. Journal of Engineering Geology,2020,28(2):375 − 383. (in Chinese with English abstract) Google Scholar
[2]	COOPER D F. Project risk management guidelines: Managing risk in large projects and complex procurements[M]. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons, 2005. Google Scholar
[3]	戴婧, 毕军, 马宗伟. 风险排序及其在环境风险管控中的应用[J]. 环境监控与预警,2016,8(1):1 − 4. [DAI Jing, BI Jun, MA Zongwei. Risk ranking and its applications in environmental risk management[J]. Environmental Monitoring and Forewarning,2016,8(1):1 − 4. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-6732.2016.01.001 CrossRef Google Scholar
[4]	MALONE A W, 黄润秋. 香港的边坡安全管理与滑坡风险防范[J]. 山地学报,2000,18(2):187 − 192. [MALONE A W, HUANG Runqiu. Slope safety and landslides risk management[J]. Journal of Mountain Science,2000,18(2):187 − 192. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1008-2786.2000.02.017 CrossRef Google Scholar
[5]	向喜琼. 区域滑坡地质灾害危险性评价与风险管理[D]. 成都: 成都理工大学, 2005. Google Scholar XIANG Xiqiong. Regional landslide assessment and risk management[D]. Chengdu: Chengdu University of Technology, 2005. (in Chinese with English abstract) Google Scholar
[6]	PUN W K, CHUNG P W K, WONG T K C, et al. Landslide risk management in Hong Kong - experience in the past and planning for the future[J]. Landslides,2020,17(1):243 − 247. doi: 10.1007/s10346-019-01291-8 CrossRef Google Scholar
[7]	KONG V W W, KWAN J S H, PUN W K. Hong Kong’s landslip warning system—40 years of progress[J]. Landslides,2020,17(6):1453 − 1463. doi: 10.1007/s10346-020-01379-6 CrossRef Google Scholar
[8]	FELL R, HO KKS, LACASSE S, et al. A framework for landslide risk assessment and management[C]/ /HUNGR O, FELL R, COUTURE R, et al. Landslide risk management. Vancouver: Taylor & Francis, 2005: 3-25. Google Scholar
[9]	唐亚明, 冯卫, 李政国, 等. 滑坡风险管理综述[J]. 灾害学,2015,30(1):141 − 149. [TANG Yaming, FENG Wei, LI Zhengguo, et al. An overview of landslide risk management[J]. Journal of Catastrophology,2015,30(1):141 − 149. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2015.01.027 CrossRef Google Scholar
[10]	陈伟. 西南山区城镇建设地质灾害风险管理控制方法研究[D]. 成都: 成都理工大学, 2011. Google Scholar CHEN Wei. Study on geohazard risk management methods in southwest mountain towns construction[D]. Chengdu: Chengdu University of Technology, 2011. (in Chinese with English abstract) Google Scholar
[11]	VAN WESTEN C J, VAN ASCH T W J, SOETERS R. Landslide hazard and risk zonation-why is it still so difficult?[J]. Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment,2006,65(2):167 − 184. doi: 10.1007/s10064-005-0023-0 CrossRef Google Scholar
[12]	范强, 巨能攀, 解明礼, 等. 2017年九寨沟M_S7.0地震前后地质灾害风险对比[J]. 地震研究,2019,42(3):419 − 427. [FAN Qiang, JU Nengpan, XIE Mingli, et al. Comparation of geological hazard risks before and after Jiuzhaigou M_S7.0 Earthquake in 2017[J]. Journal of Seismological Research,2019,42(3):419 − 427. (in Chinese with English abstract) doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-0666.2019.03.016 CrossRef Google Scholar
[13]	DAI F C, LEE C F, NGAI Y Y. Landslide risk assessment and management: An overview[J]. Engineering Geology,2002,64(1):65 − 87. doi: 10.1016/S0013-7952(01)00093-X CrossRef Google Scholar
[14]	LUO H Y, ZHANG L L, ZHANG L M. Progressive failure of buildings under landslide impact[J]. Landslides,2019,16(7):1327 − 1340. doi: 10.1007/s10346-019-01164-0 CrossRef Google Scholar
[15]	CHAPMAN C. Project risk analysis and management—PRAM the generic process[J]. International Journal of Project Management,1997,15(5):273 − 281. doi: 10.1016/S0263-7863(96)00079-8 CrossRef Google Scholar
[16]	解明礼. 矿山崩滑地质灾害风险评价与管理研究[D]. 成都: 成都理工大学, 2018. Google Scholar XIE Mingli. Risk assessment and management of landslide geohazards induced by underground mining[D]. Chengdu: Chengdu University of Technology, 2018. (in Chinese with English abstract) Google Scholar
[17]	WARD S C. Assessing and managing important risks[J]. International Journal of Project Management,1999,17(6):331 − 336. doi: 10.1016/S0263-7863(98)00051-9 CrossRef Google Scholar
[18]	刘传正. 论地质灾害风险识别问题[J]. 水文地质工程地质,2017,44(4):1 − 7. [LIU Chuanzheng. Research on the risk recognition of geological disasters[J]. Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology,2017,44(4):1 − 7. (in Chinese with English abstract) Google Scholar
[19]	刘传正. 崩塌滑坡灾害风险识别方法初步研究[J]. 工程地质学报,2019,27(1):88 − 97. [LIU Chuanzheng. Analysis methods on the risk identification of landslide disasters[J]. Journal of Engineering Geology,2019,27(1):88 − 97. (in Chinese with English abstract) Google Scholar
[20]	何宇航, 裴向军, 梁靖, 等. 基于Rockfall的危岩体危险范围预测及风险评价—以九寨沟景区悬沟危岩体为例[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2020,31(4):24 − 33. [HE Yuhang, PEI Xiangjun, LIANG Jing, et al. Risk assessment and range prediction of dangerous rockmass based on rockfall: a case study of the Xuangou Collapse[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control,2020,31(4):24 − 33. (in Chinese with English abstract) Google Scholar
[21]	李滨, 殷跃平, 高杨, 等. 西南岩溶山区大型崩滑灾害研究的关键问题[J]. 水文地质工程地质,2020,47(4):5 − 13. [LI Bin, YIN Yueping, GAO Yang, et al. Critical issues in rock avalanches in the karst mountain areas of southwest China[J]. Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology,2020,47(4):5 − 13. (in Chinese with English abstract) Google Scholar
[22]	陈筠, 郭果. 基于RES理论的潜在滑坡识别[J]. 工程地质学报,2014,22(3):456 − 463. [CHEN Jun, GUO Guo. Rock engineering system based identification model for potential landslide[J]. Journal of Engineering Geology,2014,22(3):456 − 463. (in Chinese with English abstract) Google Scholar
[23]	朱立军, 黄润秋, 朱要强, 等. 中国西南岩溶山地重大地质灾害成灾机理与监测预警系统研究[M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2018. Google Scholar ZHU Lijun, HUANG Runqiu, ZHU Yaoqiang, et al. Study on the mechanism and monitoring and early warning system of major geological disasters in karst mountainous areas of southwest China [M]. Beijing: China Science Publishing House, 2018. (in Chinese) Google Scholar