APPLICATION OF THE ETA-TYPE TECTONIC SERIES SUGGESTED BY LI SI-GUANG TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

XU Dao-yi; SUN Wen-peng

2011 Vol. 17, No. 1

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XU Dao-yi, SUN Wen-peng. APPLICATION OF THE ETA-TYPE TECTONIC SERIES SUGGESTED BY LI SI-GUANG TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J]. Journal of Geomechanics, 2011, 17(1): 64-73.

Citation:

XU Dao-yi, SUN Wen-peng. APPLICATION OF THE ETA-TYPE TECTONIC SERIES SUGGESTED BY LI SI-GUANG TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J]. Journal of Geomechanics, 2011, 17(1): 64-73.

APPLICATION OF THE ETA-TYPE TECTONIC SERIES SUGGESTED BY LI SI-GUANG TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

XU Dao-yi¹,
SUN Wen-peng²

1.
Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100029, China
2.
CNNC Beijing Research Institute of Uranium Geology, Beijing 100029, China

Received Date: 09 December 2010

Publish Date: 25 March 2011

Abstract

Abstract

The eta-type tectonic system was suggested by academician Li Si-guan more than 70 years ago, and two great eta-type tectonic systems have been described by him: one is located in Qinhai-Xizang (Tibet) -Yunan-Burma-Indonesia (QXYBI), and the another is Western part of North America (WNA). Recently they have been applied to the earthquake prediction successfully. In this paper a brief introduction is concerned to the prediction of M_S 8.3 Wenchuan Earthquake occurred on May 12^th, 2008 by Huang Xiang-ning based on the QXYBI eta-type tectonic system, and also to the prediction of M_S7.5 Mexico earthquake occurred on April 5^th, 2010 by author according to the WNA eta-type tectonic system. The time intervals (about 53 ~ 54 years) among super-great earthquakes occurred in the same eta-type tectonic system demonstrate clear orderliness related to 3 times of astronomical Saros Period. Thus, it is clear that the modern seismic activity of eta-type tectonic systems is stimulated by the astronomical factors, and this character is favorable for the prediction of great earthquake in future.
- eta-type tectonic system /
- earthquake prediction /
- China mainland /
- western part of the North America /
- Saros period

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References

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