APPLICATION OF SPATIAL DATABASE TECHNOLOGY AND SEISMIC GAP METHOD TO SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS AROUND SOUTH-EASTERN TIBETAN PLATEAU

LIU Yan-hui; ZHAO Gen-mo; WU Zhong-hai; LI Yue-hua; MA Dan; JIANG Yao

2014 Vol. 20, No. 3

Article Contents

Article navigation > Journal of Geomechanics > 2014 > 20(3): 254-273

Next Article Previous Article

LIU Yan-hui, ZHAO Gen-mo, WU Zhong-hai, LI Yue-hua, MA Dan, JIANG Yao. APPLICATION OF SPATIAL DATABASE TECHNOLOGY AND SEISMIC GAP METHOD TO SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS AROUND SOUTH-EASTERN TIBETAN PLATEAU[J]. Journal of Geomechanics, 2014, 20(3): 254-273.

Citation:

APPLICATION OF SPATIAL DATABASE TECHNOLOGY AND SEISMIC GAP METHOD TO SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS AROUND SOUTH-EASTERN TIBETAN PLATEAU

1.
Institute of Geomechanics, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
2.
School of Earth Science and Resources, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China
3.
Seismological Bureau of Tianjin City, Tianjin 300201, China
4.
College of Resource Environment and Tourism, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048, China

More Information

Corresponding author: WU Zhong-hai, wzhh4488@sina.com

Received Date: 30 April 2014

Publish Date: 25 September 2014

Abstract

Abstract

Based on the software platform of ArcGIS (invented by ESRI), VS2010, and SQL Server 2008, the spatial database system of the southeastern Tibetan Plateau active tectonic zones that can provide a useful platform for predicting the mid-long term megaseism on active tectonic zones is preliminary established. Taking the study of active faults of southeastern Tibetan Plateau as an example, the research result shows the platform is effective and practical to predict the megaseism. According to the active faults database, 11 cases of the seismic gap's (M≥7.0) parameters and characteristics classified by time are analyzed. On the basis of the empirical formula, this paper propose preliminary analysis on the development of the seismic gaps (M≥5.0) data from 1950 to 2012 and comprehensive analysis on the potential hypocenter and magnitude in southeastern Tibetan Plateau in the future. The results show there are six significant potential seismic gaps around the southeastern Tibetan Plateau that confined by Yushu-Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang Fault, including the Cona-Oiga rift zone, eastern Himalayan syntaxis, Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang Fault zone, Nantinghe and Honghe Fault, Wanding fault-Nanting River fault zone, with the eastern segment of the Lancang-Jinghong fault zone being dangerous areas in next few years probably. Combining with the historical seismicity, late quaternary activity of the active faults in seismic gap indicate the forthcoming earthquake prediction should be paid great attention to.
- spatial database /
- active fault /
- seismic hazard /
- seismic gap /
- earthquake prediction

FullText(HTML)

References

[1]	国家地震局震害防御司.中国历史强震目录(公元前23世纪—公元1911年)[M].北京:地震出版社, 1995. Google Scholar The Department of Seismic Hazard Prevention of SSB. Catalog of the history strong earthquakes in China (23 century BC to 1911 AD)[M]. BeiJing: Seismological Press, 1995. Google Scholar
[2]	唐荣昌, 韩渭宾.四川活动断裂与地震[M].北京:地震出版社, 1993: 67, 117. Google Scholar TANG Rong-chang, HAN Wei-bin. Active faults and earthquakes in Sichuan Province[M]. Beijing: Seismological Press, 1993: 67, 117. Google Scholar
[3]	吴中海, 赵根模, 龙长兴, 等.青藏高原东南缘现今大震活动特征及其趋势:活动构造体系角度的初步分析结果[J].地质学报, 2014, 88(8): 1401~1416. Google Scholar WU Zhong-hai, ZHAO Gen-mo, LONG Chang-xing, et al. The seismic hazard assessment around south-east area of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau: A preliminary results from active tectonics system analysis[J]. Acta Geologica Sinica, 2014, 88(8):1401~1416. Google Scholar
[4]	吴中海, 赵希涛, 范桃园, 等.泛亚铁路滇西大理至瑞丽沿线主要活动断裂与地震地质特征[J].地质通报, 2012, 31(2/3): 191~217. Google Scholar WU Zhong-hai, ZHAO Xi-tao, FAN Tao-yuan, et al.Active faults and seismologic characteristics along the Dali-Ruili railway in western Yunnan Province[J]. Geological Bulletin of China, 2012, 31(2/3): 191~217. Google Scholar
[5]	张肇诚.震例总结研究探讨[M].北京:地震出版社, 2013. Google Scholar ZHANG Zhao-cheng. The studies and investigation of seismic cases summary[M]. Beijing: Seismological Press, 2013. Google Scholar
[6]	M7专项工作组.中国大陆大地震中长期危险性研究[M].北京:地震出版社, 2013. Google Scholar Working Group of M7. Study on the mid-to long-term potential of large earthquakes on the Chinese Continent[M]. Beijing: Seismological Press, 2013. Google Scholar
[7]	郭安林, 张国伟, 姚安平.地质数据库建立中的系统分析[J].西北大学学报:自然科学版, 2004, 34(2): 203~206. Google Scholar GUO An-lin, ZHANG Guo-wei, YAO An-ping. System analysis in building geological database[J]. Journal of Northwest University: Natual Science Editon, 2004, 34(2): 203~206. Google Scholar
[8]	郭伟娜, 毛先成, 陈振.综合地质数据库结构设计与管理系统开发[J].金属矿山, 2009, (6): 136~139. Google Scholar GUO Wei-na MAO Xian-cheng, CHEN Zhen. Development of the design and management system of generalized geological database structure[J]. Metal Mine, 2009, (6): 136~139. Google Scholar
[9]	张望, 洪金益.矿产资源空间数据库的分析与设计[J].西部探矿工程, 2009, (6): 127~131. Google Scholar ZHANG Wang, HONG Jin-yi. Analysis and design of mineral resource spatial database[J]. West-China Exploration Engineering, 2009, (6): 127~131. Google Scholar
[10]	曾卫华.石油地质空间数据库的建立与应用[J].油气地球物理, 2010, 8(1): 23~26. Google Scholar ZENG Wei-hua. The establishment and application of the geologic spatial database[J]. Petroleum Geophysics, 2010, 8(1): 23~26. Google Scholar
[11]	李永兵, 陈旭瑞, 胡俊峰, 等.基于GIS的地质数据库系统:研究现状和发展趋势[J].地球物理学进展, 2002, 17(3): 532~539. Google Scholar LI Yong-bing, CHEN Xu-rui, HU Jun-feng, et al. The geologic database system with GIS: Research status in quo and development trend[J]. Progress in Geophysics, 2002, 17(3): 532~539. Google Scholar
[12]	屈春燕.最新1/400万中国活动构造空间数据库的建立[J].地震地质, 2008, 30(1): 298~304. Google Scholar QU Chun-yan. Building to the active tectonic database of China[J]. Seismology and Geology, 2008, 30(1): 298~304. Google Scholar
[13]	李斌, 朱筱敏, 孟昊, 等.开放性地质空间数据库的设计与应用[J].地理信息空间, 2012, 10(1): 29~34. Google Scholar LI Bin, ZHU Xiao-min, MENG Hao, et al. Design and application of opening geological spatial database[J]. Geospacial Information, 2012, 10(1): 29~34. Google Scholar
[14]	Chang Kang-tsung.地理信息系统导论[M].陈建飞, 译.北京:清华大学出版社, 2009. Google Scholar Chang Kang-tsung. Introduction to Geographic Information Systems[M].CHEN Jian-fei, translated. Beijing: Tsinghua University Press, 2009. Google Scholar
[15]	吴信才.空间数据库[M].北京:科教出版社, 2006. Google Scholar WU Xin-cai. Spatial database[M]. Beijing: Science and Education Press, 2006. Google Scholar
[16]	杨海军, 邵全琴.GIS空间分析技术在地理数据处理中的应用研究[J].地球信息科学, 2007, 9(5): 70~75. Google Scholar YANG Hai-jun, SHAO Quan-qin. Consideration on GIS spatial analysis in geospatial data processing[J]. Geo-Information Science, 2007, 9(5): 70~75. Google Scholar
[17]	黄杏元, 马劲松.地理信息系统概论[M].北京:高等教育出版社, 1990. Google Scholar HUANG Xing-yuan, MA Jin-song. Foundation of Geographic Information Systems[M]. Beijing: Higher Education Press, 1990. Google Scholar
[18]	王学军.空间分析技术与地理信息系统的结合[J].地理研究, 1997, 16 (3): 70~74. Google Scholar WANG Xue-jun. The combination of spatial analysis technique and GIS[J]. Geographical Research, 1997, 16(3): 70~74. Google Scholar
[19]	龚健雅.空间数据库管理系统的概念与发展趋势[J].测绘科学, 2001, 26(3): 4~9. Google Scholar GONG Jian-ya. Concepts and development of spatial database management[J]. Science of Surveying and Mapping, 2001, 26(3): 4~9. Google Scholar
[20]	程昌秀.空间数据库管理系统概论[M].北京:科学出版社, 2012. Google Scholar CHENG Chang-xiu. Foundation of spatial database management system[M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2012. Google Scholar
[21]	胡忠宇.面向对象的全关系型GIS空间数据库的研究[J].测绘科学, 2009, 34(增刊): 118~120. Google Scholar HU Zhong-yu. Mensuration method of fixed attitude delay of survey vessel[J]. Science of Surveying and Mapping, 2009, 34(Supp.): 118~120. Google Scholar
[22]	ESRI.ArcGIS Engine开发指南[M].ESRI中国(北京)有限公司, 2011. Google Scholar ESRI. The development guide to ArcGIS Engine[M]. Beijing: ESRI China (Beijing) Co., LTD, 2011. Google Scholar
[23]	Zeiler M. Modeling our world: The ESRI guide to geodatabase design[M]. California: ESRI Press, 1999: 115~125. Google Scholar
[24]	Cunningham G, Silvertand G. Managing a Versioned Geodatabase[M]. New York: ESRI Press, 2005. Google Scholar
[25]	邓起东.断层性状、盆地类型及其形成机制[J].地震科学研究, 1984, (3): 56~64. Google Scholar DENG Qi-dong. Fault traits, basin types and their formation mechanism[J]. Earthquake Science Research, 1984, (3): 56~64. Google Scholar
[26]	张秋文, 张培震.地理信息系统在地震危险性分析中的应用[J].地壳形变与地震, 1999, 19(1): 82~86. Google Scholar ZHANG Qiu-wen, ZHANG Pei-zhen. Application of Geographic Information System (GIS) to seismic risk analysis[J]. Crustal Deformation and Earthquake, 1999, 19(1): 82~86. Google Scholar
[27]	易桂喜, 闻学泽, 范军, 等.由地震活动参数分析安宁河—则木河断裂带的现今活动习性及地震危险性[J].地震学报, 2004, 26(3): 294~303. Google Scholar YI Gui-xi, WEN Xue-ze, FAN Jun, et al. Assessing current faulting behaviors and seismic risk of the Anninghe-Zemuhe fault zone from seismicity parameters[J]. Acta Seismologica Sinca, 2004, 26(3): 294~303. Google Scholar
[28]	张国民.我国地震监测预报研究的主要科学进展[J].地震, 2002, 22(1): 2~8. Google Scholar ZHANG Guo-min.The main science advances of earthquake monitoring and prediction in China[J]. Earthquake, 2002, 22(1): 2~8. Google Scholar
[29]	张国民, 陈章立.我国地震前兆和预报的探索[J].中国地震, 1987, 3(增刊): 2~11. Google Scholar ZHANG Guo-min, CHEN Zhang-li. Research on the earthquake precursors and prediction of in China[J]. Earthquake Research in China, 1987, 3(Supp.): 2~11. Google Scholar
[30]	Mogi K. Two kinds of seismic gaps[J]. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 1979, 117(6): 1172~1186. doi: 10.1007/BF00876213 CrossRef Google Scholar
[31]	Fedotov S A. Regularities of the distribution of strong earthquakes in Kamchatka, the Kurile Islands, and north-east Japan[J]. Tr Inst Fiz Zemli Akad Nauk SSSR, 1965, 36: 66~93. Google Scholar
[32]	Sykes L R. Aftershock zones of great earthquakes, seismicity gaps, and earthquake prediction for Alaska and the Aleutians[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research, 1971, 76(32): 8021~8041. doi: 10.1029/JB076i032p08021 CrossRef Google Scholar
[33]	Scholz C H. The mechanics of earthquakes and faulting[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990. Google Scholar
[34]	Slemmons D B, Depolo C M. Evaluation of active faulting and associated hazards[C]//Wallace R E. Active tectonics. Washington D C: National Academy Press, 1986: 45~62. Google Scholar
[35]	张肇诚, 郑大林, 罗咏生.《中国震例》前兆资料的初步研究[J].地震, 1990, 10(5): 9~24. Google Scholar ZHANG Zhao-cheng, ZHENG Da-lin, LUO Yong-sheng. Preliminary research on the precursory data from Earthquake Cases in China[J]. Earthquake, 1990, 10(5): 9~24. Google Scholar
[36]	胡聿贤.工程地震学[M].北京:地震出版社, 1995. Google Scholar HU Yu-xian. Engineering seismology[M]. Beijing: Seismological Press, 1995. Google Scholar
[37]	董治平, 杨立明, 姚军.青藏高原北部地区地震空区初步研究[J].地震研究, 2005, 28(1): 6~11. Google Scholar DONG Zhi-ping, YANG Li-ming, YAO Jun. Preliminary study on the seismic gap in the northern area of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[J]. Journal of Seismological Research, 2005, 28(1): 6~11. Google Scholar
[38]	援藏考察队.当雄地震、察隅地震考察概况[J].四川地震, 1986, 3(1): 39~41. Google Scholar Tibet Expedition Team. An overview of the investigation on Dangxiong and Chayu earthquakes[J]. Sichuan Earthquake, 1986, 3(1): 39~41. Google Scholar
[39]	吴中海, 张永双, 胡道功, 等.西藏错那—沃卡裂谷带中段邛多江地堑晚新生代正断层作用[J].地质力学学报, 2007, 13(4): 297~307. Google Scholar WU Zhong-hai, ZHANG Yong-shuang, HU Dao-gong, et al. Late Cenozoic narmal faulting of the qungdogyang graben in the central segment of the Cona-Qiga rift, southeastern Tibet[J]. Journal of Geomechanics, 2007, 13(4): 297~307. Google Scholar
[40]	吴中海, 张永双, 胡道功, 等.藏南错那—沃卡裂谷的第四纪正断层作用及其特征[J].地震地质, 2008, 30(1): 144~160. Google Scholar WU Zhong-hai, ZHANG Yong-shuang, HU Dao-gong, et al. The quaternary normal faulting of the Cona-Qiga rift[J]. Seismology and Geology, 2008, 30(1): 144~160. Google Scholar
[41]	宋治平, 张国民, 刘杰, 等.全球地震目录[M].北京:地震出版社, 2011. Google Scholar SONG Zhi-ping. ZHANG Guo-min, LIU Jie, et al. Global earthquake catalog[M]. Beijing: Seismological Press, 2011. Google Scholar
[42]	时振梁, 赵荣国, 王淑贞, 等.世界地震目录[M].北京:地图出版社, 1986. Google Scholar SHI Zhen-liang, ZHAO Rong-guo, WANG Shu-zhen, et al. The world's earthquake catalog[M]. Beijing: Map Press, 1986. Google Scholar
[43]	张培震, 徐锡伟, 闻学泽, 等.2008年汶川8.0级地震发震断裂的滑动速率、复发周期和构造成因[J].地球物理学报, 2008, 5l(4): 1066~1073. Google Scholar ZHANG Pei-zhen, XU Xi-wei, WEN Xue-ze, et al. Slip rates and recurrence intervals of the Longmenshan active fault zone, and tectonic implications for the mechanism of the May 12 Wenchuan earthquake, 2008, Sichuan, China[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 2008, 51(4): 1066~1073. Google Scholar
[44]	徐锡伟, 闻学泽, 叶建青, 等.汶川8.0地震地表破裂带及其发震构造[J].地震地质, 2008, 30(3): 597~629. Google Scholar XU Xi-wei, WEN Xue-ze, YE Jian-qing, et al. The M_S 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake surface ruptures and its seismogenic structure[J]. Seismology and Geology, 2008, 30(3): 597~629. Google Scholar
[45]	闻学泽, 张培震, 杜方, 等.2008年汶川8.0级地震发生的历史与现今地震活动背景[J].地球物理学报, 2009, 52(2): 444~454. Google Scholar WEN Xue-Ze, ZHANG Pei Zhen, DU Fang, et al. The background of historical and modern seismic activities of the occurrence of the 2008 M_S 8.0 Wenchuan, Sichuan, earthquake[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 2008, 30(3): 597~629. Google Scholar
[46]	闻学泽.川西安宁河断裂上的地震空区[J].中国科学D辑:地球科学, 2008, 38(7): 797~807. Google Scholar WEN Xue-ze. The seismic gap on the Anninghe fault around the western Sichuan[J]. Science in China Series D: Earth Science, 2008, 38(7): 797~807. Google Scholar
[47]	王琪, 赖锡安, 游新兆, 等.红河断裂的GPS监测与现代构造应力场[J].地壳形变与地震, 1998, 18(2): 49~56. Google Scholar WANG Qi, LAI Xi-an, YOU Xin-zhao, et al. GPS measurement and present tectonic stress field in the Honghe fault, southwest China[J]. Crustal, Deformation and Earthquake, 1998, 18(2): 49~56. Google Scholar
[48]	吴中海, 叶培盛, 吴珍汉.2008年10月6日西藏当雄M_S 6.6级强震的地震烈度控震构造和发震机理[J].地质通报, 2008, 28(6): 713~725. Google Scholar WU Zhong-hai, YE Pei-sheng, WU Zhen-han. The seismic intensity, seismogenic tectonics and mechanism of the M_S 6.6 Damxung earthquake happened on October 6, 2008 in southern Tibet, China[J]. Geological Bulletin of China, 2008, 28(6): 713~725. Google Scholar