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2023 Vol. 50, No. 4
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Article navigation > Geology in China > 2023 > 50(4): 1058-1069
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CHE Dong, ZHANG Zhaozhi, PAN Zhaoshuai, WANG Jianping, ZHAO Yuanyi, XING Enyuan. 2023. Resource endowment and demand forecast of titanium products in the next 10 years[J]. Geology in China, 50(4): 1058-1069. doi: 10.12029/gc20220913001
Citation: CHE Dong, ZHANG Zhaozhi, PAN Zhaoshuai, WANG Jianping, ZHAO Yuanyi, XING Enyuan. 2023. Resource endowment and demand forecast of titanium products in the next 10 years[J]. Geology in China, 50(4): 1058-1069. doi: 10.12029/gc20220913001
shu

Resource endowment and demand forecast of titanium products in the next 10 years

  • 1.

    MNR Key Laboratory of Metallogeny and Mineral Assessment, Institute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing 100037, China

  • 2.

    School of Earth Sciences and Resources, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), State Key Laboratory of Geological Processes and Mineral Resources, Beijing 100083, China

  • 3.

    MNR Key Laboratory of Saline Lake Resources and Environments, Institute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing 100037, China

    • Fund Project: Supported by the project of China Geological Survey (No.DD20211405, No.DD20221694)
More Information
  • Author Bio: CHE Dong, male, born in 1992, Ph.D. candidate, mainly engaged in resource industry economic research; E-mail: 809340226@qq.com
  • Corresponding author: ZHANG Zhaozhi, male, born in 1967, researcher, supervisor of doctor candidates, mainly engaged in resource industry economic research; E-mail: 1264124110@qq.com 
Received Date:  13 September 2022
Revised Date:  05 December 2022
Publish Date:  25 August 2023
    Abstract

  • This paper is the result of mineral exploration engineering.

     Objective

    China's titanium resources are relatively abundant, but they are mostly co-produced primary ores with low grades, mainly in the form of primary titanium (magnetite) iron ore type. As a major consumer of titanium ore, the study of future titanium resource consumption projections is of great significance.

     Methods

    Based on a comprehensive analysis of the geological characteristics, application areas, current process and market trade of titanium ore in China, we adopt the sectoral analysis method, the "S" shaped forecasting method and the ARIMA forecasting method to forecast China's titanium consumption from 2021 to 2030. The forecast is based on sectoral analysis, the "S" shaped forecast method and the ARIMA forecast method.

     Results

    Based on the forecast results, the following observations were made: (1) the consumption of titanium dioxide and titanium concentrate (TiO2) in China will peak at 3.02 million tons and 4.79 million tons respectively in 2027; (2) the consumption of titanium sponge will continue to grow in the next decade.

     Conclusion

    By looking ahead to the development direction of the titanium ore resource industry, suggestions are made to ensure a stable supply of titanium ore products, introduce advanced technology and process equipment, promote technological innovation in all aspects of the industry, and incorporate higher environmental and governance standards into the production chain, among other countermeasures.
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